Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 24.321482 27.655222 31.300057 35.584221 40.486558 45.926423 52.427926
2025-01-05 19.059564 23.514715 28.813838 35.596505 44.070035 54.335940 67.761918
2025-01-12 15.261721 20.081925 26.210892 34.607852 45.864809 60.507273 81.117208
2025-01-19 12.815119 17.783199 24.458794 34.137602 47.902431 66.910884 95.385953
2025-01-26 11.522407 16.747172 24.114454 35.340690 52.159996 76.651336 115.435395
2025-02-02 10.638057 16.112730 24.171791 37.012078 57.173456 87.973302 139.273565
2025-02-09 9.637509 15.142918 23.564192 37.528139 60.398084 96.880528 160.492664
2025-02-16 8.534050 13.857288 22.285146 36.771839 61.419666 102.312033 176.650824
2025-02-23 7.635924 12.781678 21.192533 36.141531 62.495989 107.854678 193.607516
2025-03-02 6.901444 11.885213 20.278151 35.671128 63.731971 113.731861 211.837345
2025-03-09 6.344916 11.225786 19.682247 35.663531 65.745114 121.159772 233.851533
2025-03-16 5.840039 10.598725 19.067444 35.532264 67.480383 128.227123 256.056544
2025-03-23 5.565366 10.376358 19.185321 36.836775 72.217186 141.810475 293.732858
2025-03-30 5.179673 9.906605 18.797963 37.132755 75.035807 152.043837 326.171050
2025-04-06 4.689601 9.182475 17.846252 36.192038 75.220241 156.937504 347.878671
2025-04-13 4.310449 8.633939 17.174122 35.729881 76.320699 163.842091 375.020067
2025-04-20 4.148158 8.504447 17.324459 37.002519 81.303500 179.767871 425.395616
2025-04-27 4.042278 8.478997 17.682661 38.760163 87.579524 199.400313 487.741170
2025-05-04 3.833782 8.213176 17.504168 39.303065 91.143855 213.258377 538.037733
2025-05-11 3.533436 7.717040 16.776703 38.509694 91.461965 219.452398 569.722637
2025-05-18 3.272108 7.281246 16.138001 37.848301 92.011590 226.272208 604.139955
2025-05-25 3.047031 6.905206 15.596033 37.354657 92.911896 234.081124 642.506683
2025-06-01 2.874931 6.634452 15.268803 37.346699 95.041000 245.322758 692.329246